Timberwolves vs. Warriors Game 1 Predictions, Odds & Stats – May 6

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The Minnesota Timberwolves are 7-point favorites in Game 1 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Golden State Warriors at Target Center on Tuesday, starting at 9:30 p.m. ET on TNT, truTV, and MAX.

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Timberwolves vs. Warriors Predictions for Tuesday

Our computer model for this contest expects a final result of Timberwolves 114, Warriors 109.

  • Moneyline Pick: Timberwolves (-289)
  • Total Pick: Over 209.5 (computer predicts 222.9 points)
  • Pick ATS: Warriors (+7)

Recent Timberwolves vs. Warriors Matchups

Timberwolves vs Warriors (Recent Matchups)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
1/15/2025 Timberwolves -7 216 -269 +216 116-115 GS
12/21/2024 Timberwolves -3.5 217 -175 +147 113-103 GS
12/8/2024 Warriors -1 215.5 -113 -106 114-106 GS
12/6/2024 Timberwolves -1.5 220 -119 -100 107-90 MIN
3/24/2024 Timberwolves -1.5 220 -119 -100 114-110 MIN
11/14/2023 Timberwolves -3 216.5 -152 +126 104-101 MIN
11/12/2023 Warriors -3 222 -151 +126 116-110 MIN

Timberwolves 2024-25 Betting Trends

  • Minnesota is 39-43-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Timberwolves are 15-16 against the spread when favored by 7 points or more this season.
  • The teams have hit the over in 44 of Minnesota's 82 games with a set total.
  • The Timberwolves have entered the game as favorites 63 times this season and won 40, or 63.5%, of those games.
  • This season, Minnesota has won 22 of its 29 games, or 75.9%, when favored by at least -289 on the moneyline.

Warriors 2024-25 Betting Trends

  • So far this year, Golden State has compiled a 42-40-0 record against the spread.
  • In games this season in which they were an underdog by 7 points or more, the Warriors have a 3-2 record against the spread.
  • The teams have combined to hit the over in 41 of Golden State's 82 games with a set total.
  • The Warriors have won 40.7% of the games this season they were the moneyline underdog (11-16).
  • When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +232 or longer, Golden State has gone 1-3 (25%).

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Timberwolves vs. Warriors Injury Report

Timberwolves

Timberwolves:

Robert Dillingham: Out (Ankle)

Warriors

Warriors:

Gary Payton II: Questionable (Illness)

Timberwolves vs. Warriors Game Time and TV Channel

  • Game day: Tuesday, May 6, 2025
  • Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: TNT, truTV, and MAX
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Arena: Target Center
  • Live stream: Watch this match on Max (Regional restrictions may apply)

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