The Minnesota Timberwolves are double-digit 11.5-point favorites heading into a decisive Game 5 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Golden State Warriors at Target Center on Wednesday, tipping off at 9:30 p.m. ET on TNT, truTV, and MAX. The Timberwolves have a 3-1 lead in the series.
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Timberwolves vs. Warriors Predictions for Wednesday
Our computer projection model for this matchup calls for a final tally of Timberwolves 114, Warriors 108.
- Moneyline Pick: Timberwolves (-575)
- Total Pick: Over 201.5 (computer predicts 222.2 points)
- Pick ATS: Warriors (+11.5)
Recent Timberwolves vs. Warriors Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/12/2025 | Timberwolves | -4.5 | 200.5 | -200 | +166 | 117-110 MIN |
| 5/10/2025 | Timberwolves | -5.5 | 201 | -248 | +202 | 102-97 MIN |
| 5/8/2025 | Timberwolves | -10.5 | 201.5 | -543 | +404 | 117-93 MIN |
| 5/6/2025 | Timberwolves | -6.5 | 210.5 | -246 | +200 | 99-88 GS |
| 1/15/2025 | Timberwolves | -7 | 216 | -269 | +216 | 116-115 GS |
| 12/21/2024 | Timberwolves | -3.5 | 217 | -175 | +147 | 113-103 GS |
| 12/8/2024 | Warriors | -1 | 215.5 | -113 | -106 | 114-106 GS |
| 12/6/2024 | Timberwolves | -1.5 | 220 | -119 | -100 | 107-90 MIN |
| 3/24/2024 | Timberwolves | -1.5 | 220 | -119 | -100 | 114-110 MIN |
| 11/14/2023 | Timberwolves | -3 | 216.5 | -152 | +126 | 104-101 MIN |
| 11/12/2023 | Warriors | -3 | 222 | -151 | +126 | 116-110 MIN |
Timberwolves 2024-25 Betting Trends
- Minnesota's ATS record is 39-43-0 this season.
- When they have played as at least 11.5-point favorites this season, the Timberwolves are 7-6 against the spread.
- A total of 44 of Minnesota's 82 games with a set total have hit the over (53.7%).
- The Timberwolves have been favorites in 63 games this season and won 40 (63.5%) of those contests.
- This season, Minnesota has won 11 of its 13 games, or 84.6%, when favored by at least -575 on the moneyline.
Warriors 2024-25 Betting Trends
- So far this season, Golden State has put together a 42-40-0 record against the spread.
- Golden State has gone over in 41 of its 82 games with a set total (50%).
- The Warriors have been the moneyline underdog 27 total times this season. They've finished 11-16 in those games.
- Golden State has yet to play as a moneyline underdog of +420 or longer.
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Timberwolves vs. Warriors Injury Report
Timberwolves
Timberwolves: None
Warriors
Warriors:
Stephen Curry: Out (Hamstring)
Timberwolves vs. Warriors Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Wednesday, May 14, 2025
- Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: TNT, truTV, and MAX
- Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
- Arena: Target Center
- Live stream: Watch this match on Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
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