Capitals vs. Wild Prediction & Picks - Oct. 17

The Washington Capitals (3-1) will attempt to extend a three-game win streak when they take on the Minnesota Wild (2-2) at home on Friday, Oct. 17 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

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Here's our pick for who will capture the win in Friday's matchup.

Capitals vs. Wild Predictions for Friday

Our computer model for this encounter calls for a final tally of Capitals 4, Wild 2.

  • Moneyline Pick: Capitals (-126)
  • Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 5.8 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Pick Em

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Capitals Splits and Trends

  • The Capitals (51-22-9 overall) had a 9-10-19 record last season in matchups that needed overtime.
  • Washington picked up 37 points (15-4-7) in the 26 games it played that were decided by one goal.
  • Looking at the 13 times last season the Capitals ended a game with only one goal, they had a 1-10-2 record, picking up four points.
  • Washington finished 2-9-2 in the 13 games last season when it scored exactly two goals (registering six points).
  • The Capitals scored three or more goals in 62 games (53-3-6, 112 points).
  • In the 34 games when Washington scored a lone power-play goal, it went 21-10-3 to register 45 points.
  • In the 47 games when it outshot its opponent, Washington was 32-11-4 (68 points).
  • The Capitals were outshot by their opponent in 43 games, going 23-14-6 to record 52 points.

Wild Splits and Trends

  • The Wild posted a record of 12-9-21 in overtime contests last season to contribute to an overall mark of 45-30-7.
  • Minnesota accumulated 38 points (16-6-6) in its 28 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
  • Last season the Wild scored just one goal in 21 games, and went 3-16-2 (eight points).
  • When Minnesota scored a pair of goals last season, they amassed seven points (2-8-3 record).
  • The Wild scored three or more goals 49 times, accumulating 88 points (42-3-4).
  • Last season Minnesota scored a single power-play goal in 30 games and picked up 38 points, with a record of 17-9-4.
  • When outshooting its opponent last season, Minnesota was 19-9-3 (41 points).
  • The Wild's opponents had more shots in 54 games last season. The Wild finished 26-22-6 in those contests (58 points).

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Team Stats Comparison (2024-25)

Capitals Rank Capitals AVG Wild AVG Wild Rank
2nd 3.49 Goals Scored 2.74 25th
8th 2.79 Goals Allowed 2.88 15th
22nd 27.6 Shots 27.6 22nd
10th 27.2 Shots Allowed 29.6 26th
14th 23.53% Power Play % 20.77% 20th
5th 82.01% Penalty Kill % 72.41% 30th

Capitals vs. Wild Game Time and TV Channel

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