Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Predictions, Odds & Stats – Dec. 25

The Minnesota Timberwolves (20-10) are underdogs (+3.5) as they attempt to build on a three-game winning streak when they visit the Denver Nuggets (21-8) at 10:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, December 25, 2025 at Ball Arena. The contest airs on ABC and ESPN.

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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Predictions for Thursday

Our computer model for this contest expects a final result of Nuggets 122, Timberwolves 115.

  • Moneyline Pick: Nuggets (-146)
  • Total Pick: Under 238.5 (computer predicts 236.9 points)
  • Pick ATS: Nuggets (-3.5)

Recent Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Matchups

Nuggets vs Timberwolves (Recent Matchups)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
11/15/2025 Nuggets -1.5 237 -114 -105 123-112 DEN
10/27/2025 Nuggets -6.5 229.5 -240 +197 127-114 DEN
4/1/2025 Nuggets -2 229.5 -123 +103 140-139 MIN
3/12/2025 Nuggets -1.5 233.5 -125 +105 115-95 MIN
1/25/2025 Nuggets -3.5 229.5 -163 +138 133-104 MIN
11/1/2024 Timberwolves -4 219.5 -176 +149 119-116 MIN

Nuggets 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • Denver has a 17-12-0 record against the spread this season.
  • The Nuggets are 13-10 against the spread when favored by 3.5 points or more this season.
  • The teams have hit the over in 19 of Denver's 30 games with a set total.
  • This season, the Nuggets have been favored 25 times and won 19, or 76%, of those games.
  • This season, Denver has won 18 of its 24 games, or 75%, when favored by at least -146 on the moneyline.

Timberwolves 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • Minnesota's ATS record is 12-18-0 this year.
  • In games this year in which they were an underdog by 3.5 points or more, the Timberwolves have a 3-2 record against the spread.
  • Minnesota's games have hit the over 13 out of 30 times (43.3%).
  • The Timberwolves have been the underdog on the moneyline six total times this season. They've gone 2-4 in those games.
  • In games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +123 or longer, Minnesota has a record of 2-3 (40%).

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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Injury Report

Nuggets

Nuggets:

Christian Braun: Out (Ankle),

Aaron Gordon: Out (Hamstring),

Cameron Johnson: Out (Knee),

Tamar Bates: Out (Foot)

Timberwolves

Timberwolves:

Jaden McDaniels: Questionable (Oblique)

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game Time and TV Channel

  • Game day: Thursday, December 25, 2025
  • Game time: 10:30 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: ABC and ESPN
  • Location: Denver, Colorado
  • Arena: Ball Arena
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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